http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2010/08/swap-curve-whacked.html
Source: Bloomberg
On the road again today, so this will be the only post today...
What is the below chart showing?
1) The swap curve is currently steep, though not as steep as the Treasury curve (as long swaps are currently trading well through Treasuries)
2) The market is pricing in rates to rise rather dramatically at the front-end of the yield curve over the next five to ten years (though not much at all over the next 12 months)
3) The yield curve is actually inverted at the very long-end as early as early as three years out
Why? For one, investors that were underweight (or short) duration got themselves caught majorly off-guard over the course of the past few weeks as the long-end has taken a cliff-dive and now need duration at any cost.
What is the below chart showing?
1) The swap curve is currently steep, though not as steep as the Treasury curve (as long swaps are currently trading well through Treasuries)
2) The market is pricing in rates to rise rather dramatically at the front-end of the yield curve over the next five to ten years (though not much at all over the next 12 months)
3) The yield curve is actually inverted at the very long-end as early as early as three years out
Why? For one, investors that were underweight (or short) duration got themselves caught majorly off-guard over the course of the past few weeks as the long-end has taken a cliff-dive and now need duration at any cost.
Source: Bloomberg
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